TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.1b
24H VOL:
$181,481,432
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,983,476,643
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,827,991,073
405,996
Markets across
40,551
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,368
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 21, 6:20 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market group concerns the result of the second half of a UEFA Champions League match between Sporting CP and LASK Linz. Participants are predicting which team will score more goals in the second half, or if the two teams will score the same number of goals (a draw).
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Sporting CP and LASK Linz, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sporting CP" if Sporting CP score more goals than LASK Linz in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Sporting CP and LASK Linz score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "LASK Linz" if LASK Linz score more goals than Sporting CP in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Champions League game between Sporting CP and LASK Linz, scheduled for October 21, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sporting CP" if Sporting CP score more goals than LASK Linz in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Sporting CP and LASK Linz score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "LASK Linz" if LASK Linz score more goals than Sporting CP in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of forecasters, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow traders to openly express their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly diverges from the sportsbook's initial assessment. The volume on this market is currently $1,710, indicating the level of interest and conviction among participants.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Sporting CP vs. LASK Linz second half can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different user bases with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing interpretations of the event's probability. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and influence price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for setting odds – how traders can buy and sell predictions – differ between Polymarket and Predict, contributing to price discrepancies. These differences represent opportunities for arbitrage.