TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Sport Recife and Fortaleza will resolve based on the total number of goals scored by both teams within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the total goals scored in the Sport Recife vs Fortaleza professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for October 16, 2026. The outcome is determined solely by whether the cumulative goals exceed specified thresholds (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5). Extra time and penalty kicks are excluded from goal counts. The markets are independent assessments of scoring volume, with each threshold representing a distinct predictive measure of offensive performance in regular time.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook offerings. Sportsbooks set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market incorporates a broader range of information and opinions from traders. As more information becomes available – such as team news or weather forecasts – the prediction market prices tend to adjust more rapidly than traditional sportsbook odds. It’s common to see discrepancies emerge, offering opportunities for informed traders to potentially find value in either venue.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes for the Sport Recife vs Fortaleza match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As traders exchange contracts, the prices fluctuate based on supply and demand, creating a real-time representation of collective expectations. The closer we get to the match, the more volatile the prices may become as new information emerges and traders refine their predictions.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Sport Recife vs Fortaleza match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. It’s important to monitor official sources for the definitive result to understand the market’s settlement.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sport Recife or Fortaleza would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the style of play, could also influence the market. Late-breaking team news, such as starting lineups, and even pre-match analysis from reputable sources could drive trading activity. Unexpected shifts in public sentiment, reflected in betting patterns, can also contribute to price movements in this market.