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$154.4b

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$235,918,089

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2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,884,820,873

413,109

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PLATFORM COVERAGE:

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Sport Recife vs Fortaleza: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Sport Recife vs Fortaleza?

Volume:
$42,341

Fortaleza wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Fortaleza wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 16, 2026

Closed: Oct 16, 9:38 PM EST

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Fortaleza wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$29,400
N/A
N/A
$7,153
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Fortaleza wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,390
N/A
N/A
$6,071
Settled
No
kalshi

Sport Recife wins by more than 1.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,986
N/A
N/A
$2,504
Settled
No
kalshi

Sport Recife wins by more than 2.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$451
N/A
N/A
$451
Settled
No
kalshi

Fortaleza wins by more than 3.5 goals

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$116
N/A
N/A
$116
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

These markets evaluate the margin of victory for either Sport Recife or Fortaleza, focusing exclusively on the goal difference within the standard match duration of 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the goal differential between Sport Recife and Fortaleza in their professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer match on October 16, 2026. Outcomes are determined by whether Sport Recife wins by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, or whether Fortaleza wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, all within the regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalties are excluded. Each market specifies a distinct winning margin threshold, allowing separate assessment of dominant victories for either team during normal match time.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Sport Recife vs Fortaleza match tracks the current price of the spread, the 24-hour trading volume, and a history of how the price has changed over time. Currently, the total volume for this market is $42,341, with $39,180 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows participants to see how confidence in either team winning by a certain margin is evolving as more information becomes available and traders express their views. The dashboard provides a real-time view of market sentiment surrounding the game.

Generally, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often incorporating information and analysis beyond what’s readily available to traditional sportsbooks. While sportsbooks set initial lines based on team statistics and expert opinions, this market allows anyone to trade, potentially leading to odds that more accurately reflect the true probability of an outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing levels of information, biases, or simply variations in opinion among bettors and prediction market participants. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster than sportsbooks in response to breaking news or significant developments.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread in the Sport Recife vs Fortaleza match. The price of these contracts fluctuates based on supply and demand, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in a particular outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions, and the market price reflects the collective assessment of all participants. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments based on new information and changing perceptions.

This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread of the Sport Recife vs Fortaleza match, as determined by official game results, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official result published by the governing sports authority, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome. Traders will be able to see the final settlement price and receive payouts accordingly after the official result is confirmed.

Several factors could significantly impact this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sport Recife or Fortaleza would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching changes or internal team issues could also play a role. Furthermore, major shifts in public opinion, as reflected in other sports news or analysis, could contribute to price fluctuations in this market.