TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:40 PM EST
Kalshi
The match features two competing teams aiming to score goals within the regular 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The focus is on whether both teams manage to find the net during this standard match duration. This scenario tests each team's offensive capabilities and defensive resilience in a head-to-head contest.
If Sport Recife and Fortaleza both score a goal in the Sport Recife vs Fortaleza Brasileiro Serie B match originally scheduled for Oct 16, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public perception and marketing strategies into their pricing, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news impacts expectations. Analyzing these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd and the experts diverge in their assessments of the Sport Recife vs Fortaleza match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about whether both teams will score in the Sport Recife vs Fortaleza match. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the probability of the 'Yes' outcome (both teams scoring). On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy 'Yes' contracts, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures that the market reflects the aggregated expectations of all participants. The current price indicates the collective probability assigned to this outcome by the traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Sport Recife and Fortaleza score at least one goal during the match. Official match data will be used to determine if both teams found the net. The final price of the contracts on Kalshi will reflect whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome occurred, and traders will be paid out accordingly based on their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 17, 2026. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sport Recife or Fortaleza would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also shift expectations. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or changes in coaching staff could also move the market. Furthermore, major upsets in other relevant matches or shifts in public sentiment could influence trading activity and, consequently, the price of contracts in this market.