TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves predicting whether a specific number of goals will be scored in a Brazilian Serie B soccer match between Sport Recife and Criciuma. The outcome depends on the total goals scored by both teams combined during regular time.
The event resolves based on the total number of goals scored in the Sport Recife vs Criciuma professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for October 23, 2026. The match must be evaluated after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty kicks are excluded. Multiple thresholds are set—from over 0.5 goals up to over 5.5 goals—with each threshold resolving to 'Yes' if the actual total exceeds that value. All markets share the same underlying match and time constraints, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league or ownership of related trademarks.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market’s prices are driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. It's common to see differences in implied probabilities between this market and sportsbook offerings, particularly as new information emerges closer to the event.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final total goals scored in the Sport Recife vs Criciuma match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sporting body. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not. It’s important to monitor official sources for the final score to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sport Recife or Criciuma would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the game's pace or scoring opportunities, could also shift expectations. Furthermore, tactical adjustments announced by either team’s manager, or even early game events like a red card, could cause the market to react and prices to adjust as traders reassess the probabilities of different total goal outcomes.