TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 23, 10:09 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the margin of victory in the same Sport Recife vs Criciuma match, with different markets reflecting varying winning margins for each team. The result hinges on which team wins and by how many goals.
The event resolves based on the goal-differential by which either Sport Recife or Criciuma wins the same professional Brasileiro Serie B soccer game scheduled for October 23, 2026. Outcomes are determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Four distinct thresholds are offered: Sport Recife must win by more than 2.5 or 1.5 goals, while Criciuma must win by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. If the stated condition for a given market is met, it resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' Kalshi again emphasizes no official connection to the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market aggregates the beliefs of individuals willing to put their money behind their predictions. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into how the crowd views the probability of various outcomes for the Sport Recife vs Criciuma match.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Sport Recife vs Criciuma match, specifically the spread as defined by the market. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on losing outcomes will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available on Kalshi.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 24, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Sport Recife or Criciuma would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or coaching changes could also shift the odds. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could indicate a change in expectations, potentially driving price fluctuations in this market.