TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 02d:21h:32m
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This prediction market focuses on the second half result of a UEFA Europa League match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and KKS Lech Poznań. Participants are predicting which team will score more goals in the second half, or if the result will be a draw. The markets exclude any goals scored in the first half, extra time, or penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and KKS Lech Poznań, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica score more goals than KKS Lech Poznań in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica and KKS Lech Poznań score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań score more goals than Sport Lisboa e Benfica in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and KKS Lech Poznań, scheduled for November 5, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica score more goals than KKS Lech Poznań in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica and KKS Lech Poznań score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "KKS Lech Poznań" if KKS Lech Poznań score more goals than Sport Lisboa e Benfica in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting odds that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a more accurate probability assessment, especially as more information becomes available. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from the 'wisdom of the crowd,' aggregating diverse perspectives, whereas sportsbook odds are determined by a smaller group of professionals. This market offers a unique perspective compared to traditional betting venues.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may diverge due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific factors. Polymarket currently favors Sport Lisboa e Benfica to win the second half at approximately 50%, while Predict leans toward a draw. These differences can arise from varying levels of information access among traders on each platform, differing risk appetites, or simply the unique dynamics of each market's order book. Additionally, the liquidity and volume on each platform influence price discovery, leading to potential discrepancies in the perceived probabilities of each outcome for this market.
This market resolves around Nov 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be determined by which team—Sport Lisboa e Benfica or KKS Lech Poznań—wins the second half of the match, or if the second half ends in a draw. The final score of the second half, as reported by official sources, will be used to determine the winning outcome in this market. Traders should monitor official match results as they become available following the game’s conclusion.
Several signals could influence the price of this market before Nov 5, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in starting lineups for either Sport Lisboa e Benfica or KKS Lech Poznań would likely impact trading activity. Significant shifts in public sentiment, potentially driven by pre-match analysis or social media discussions, could also move the market. Additionally, unexpected weather conditions or referee announcements could introduce uncertainty and affect trader behavior. Real-time updates during the first half of the match could also cause rapid price adjustments.