TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
O/U 0.5
- Polymarket
O/U 0.5 - Polymarket
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 2, 2026
$
More markets for the Primeira Liga game, scheduled for November 2 at 3:15 PM ET.
More markets for the Primeira Liga game, scheduled for November 2 at 3:15 PM ET.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities and can be influenced by various factors.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe an outcome is likely, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will climb. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of those trading on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca match, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome is the winner and distribute payouts accordingly. Traders should monitor for official announcements regarding the match to understand when resolution is approaching.
Several factors could influence trading activity and shift the odds in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions for either Benfica or Alverca could significantly impact the perceived probabilities. Additionally, performance in recent matches, weather conditions on match day, and even public sentiment expressed through social media or sports news outlets could all contribute to movement in this market. Unexpected tactical decisions during the match itself could also cause a rapid shift in trading behavior.