TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 7:13 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC Alverca, scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca match originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming Primeira Liga game between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and FC Alverca, scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca match originally scheduled for November 2, 2026 at 3:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from traditional sportsbook odds due to varying levels of information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows participants to directly express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook odds, it might indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of specific results. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities based on different methodologies and information sets, and neither is guaranteed to be accurate.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the probability of different exact scores. The price of each share directly reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s likelihood. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic and real-time valuation of each possible result. The market’s price movements are driven by supply and demand, influenced by news, analysis, and overall market sentiment.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. FC Alverca match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Resolution will occur after official results are published by a recognized sporting authority. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score will be entitled to a payout based on the market’s pricing at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, suspensions, or changes in coaching staff could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions on match day or tactical adjustments announced before the game could also shift market sentiment. Additionally, public opinion, expert analysis, and even large trading volumes from individual participants can all contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market and making informed trading decisions.