TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 15 at 3:00 PM ET.
More markets for the UEFA Europa League game, scheduled for October 15 at 3:00 PM ET.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs, potentially leading to odds that more accurately forecast the actual outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It’s useful to compare both to gain a comprehensive understanding of expectations.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the collective market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. The market’s efficiency stems from the incentive for traders to accurately assess probabilities and profit from discrepancies, driving prices towards a fair value.
This market resolves around Oct 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Celtic FC match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The specific outcome that determines the resolution will depend on the exact terms of the market, but it will be clearly defined on the Predict market page. Traders will be able to see the resolution details and the resulting payouts once the event has concluded and the results are verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Benfica or Celtic could significantly shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions at the match venue, or even significant pre-game commentary from analysts, could also play a role. Furthermore, major upsets in other related matches or broader football news could indirectly impact trader sentiment and, consequently, the market price. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential price movements.