TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 6:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This group forecasts the halftime result (leading, trailing, or draw) of a UEFA Europa League match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Celtic FC. Markets resolve based on the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Celtic FC, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
In the upcoming UEFA Europa League game between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Celtic FC, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Prediction market odds, like those found in this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set odds based on their own models and aim to profit from imbalances in betting, while prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. While sportsbooks may incorporate subjective factors, this market relies on participants directly expressing their beliefs about the halftime result, creating a unique price discovery mechanism.
Prices for this market on Polymarket and Predict can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different traders with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing valuations. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can indicate stronger conviction and potentially influence prices. Furthermore, the specific user interfaces and market-making algorithms employed by Polymarket and Predict can contribute to price discrepancies. These differences reflect the independent nature of each market, even when tracking the same underlying event.