TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 15, 5:00 PM EST
Predict
This prediction market asks which team will score the first goal in a soccer match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Celtic FC. The market considers goals scored within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. If neither team scores, the market resolves to 'Neither'.
In the upcoming match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Celtic FC, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Celtic FC" if Celtic FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming match between Sport Lisboa e Benfica and Celtic FC, scheduled for October 15, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sport Lisboa e Benfica" if Sport Lisboa e Benfica are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Celtic FC" if Celtic FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Benfica vs. Celtic first-to-score market can diverge due to several factors. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying risk appetites and information sets, leading to differing opinions on the likelihood of each outcome. Trading volume also plays a role; higher volume on one platform can lead to more efficient price discovery. Furthermore, the specific mechanisms for trading and market making on Polymarket and Predict can contribute to temporary price discrepancies, even though both ultimately reflect expectations for the same underlying event.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sport Lisboa e Benfica or Celtic FC would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, such as unexpected wins or losses in preceding matches, could also shift trader sentiment. Pre-match tactical announcements, like confirmed starting lineups or changes in formation, might also impact the probabilities. Finally, even general news about weather conditions or fan behavior could introduce volatility into this market.