TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 4, 6:29 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Spivacov Oleg and Gribcov Dmitri in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 4 at 3:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spivacov Oleg' if Spivacov Oleg wins against Gribcov Dmitri. This market will resolve to 'Gribcov Dmitri' if Gribcov Dmitri wins against Spivacov Oleg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Spivacov Oleg and Gribcov Dmitri in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 4 at 3:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spivacov Oleg' if Spivacov Oleg wins against Gribcov Dmitri. This market will resolve to 'Gribcov Dmitri' if Gribcov Dmitri wins against Spivacov Oleg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's price is determined entirely by supply and demand, with traders acting as both market makers and informed speculators. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market reflects the collective intelligence of its participants regarding the Spivacov vs. Gribcov fight.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Spivacov vs. Gribcov fight as declared by the relevant sporting authority. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine the winning outcome. Traders who hold shares in the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at the time of resolution, while those holding shares in the losing outcome will forfeit their investment.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimens, or even pre-fight press conference dynamics could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected betting patterns in traditional sportsbooks could also influence the market. Furthermore, analysis from MMA experts and public polls predicting the fight's outcome might sway traders’ opinions. A major upset in a similar weight class fight leading up to Oct 11, 2026 could also cause a reassessment of the probabilities for the Spivacov vs. Gribcov fight, leading to price adjustments on Polymarket.