TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 7:12 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the table tennis match between Spivacov Oleg and Cosogolov Alexandr in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 6 at 4:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spivacov Oleg' if Spivacov Oleg wins against Cosogolov Alexandr. This market will resolve to 'Cosogolov Alexandr' if Cosogolov Alexandr wins against Spivacov Oleg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
This market refers to the table tennis match between Spivacov Oleg and Cosogolov Alexandr in Setka Cup Moldova Men, scheduled for October 6 at 4:45PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Spivacov Oleg' if Spivacov Oleg wins against Cosogolov Alexandr. This market will resolve to 'Cosogolov Alexandr' if Cosogolov Alexandr wins against Spivacov Oleg. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their risk and ensure profit, while this market represents the collective belief of informed traders. Early on, sportsbooks may have a stronger signal due to expert analysis, but as the event approaches, the prediction market can incorporate a wider range of information and potentially outperform traditional odds. It's common to see discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly favors one outcome, which can drive up prices here.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Spivacov vs. Cosogolov fight. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the aggregated sentiment. The market's efficiency depends on the volume of trading and the information available to participants. Higher volume generally indicates a more accurate price discovery process.
This market resolves around Oct 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Spivacov vs. Cosogolov fight, as determined by the relevant sporting authority. Any official decision or announcement regarding the fight's winner will serve as the basis for settling this market. Traders will be able to claim their winnings based on the final, verified outcome of the fight.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. News regarding fighter injuries, changes in training regimes, or even pre-fight press conference statements could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about weight class adjustments or rule changes could also influence the odds. Publicly available analysis from MMA experts and any shifts in betting lines at traditional sportsbooks can also act as catalysts. Ultimately, any information that alters the perceived probability of either fighter winning will likely move the market.