TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 12:20 PM EST
Kalshi
Two esports teams, Spirit Academy and Yellow Submarine, will compete in a strategic Dota 2 match on a specific map. The outcome hinges on which team secures victory in the second map of their scheduled encounter, reflecting the high stakes and skill involved in professional gaming tournaments.
This event determines the winner of map 2 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026 match between Spirit Academy and Yellow Submarine, scheduled for October 17, 2026, at 9:00 AM EDT. If Spirit Academy wins map 2, that market resolves to Yes; if Yellow Submarine wins map 2, its market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the market resolves based on the official result from the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks often set lines to balance betting action, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply variations in opinion. Observing these differences can be insightful for both bettors and those interested in forecasting accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. Conversely, selling contracts lowers the price. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to aggregate information and provide a real-time assessment of the likely result.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on which team, Spirit Academy or Yellow Submarine, wins map 2 of their match. The platform will rely on official game results and publicly available data to determine the winning outcome. Traders will then be paid out based on the final result and their positions in the market.
Several signals could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding team rosters, player performance, or strategic changes could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player injuries or changes in the game's meta could also have a significant impact. Furthermore, the results of other matches involving these teams, or even related events in the competitive scene, might influence how traders assess their relative strengths. Major upsets or dominant performances in preceding games could all contribute to price movement in this market.