TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:16 PM EST
Kalshi
The EPL Masters Play-In 2026 will feature competitive matches determining which teams advance to the main tournament. The event includes a specific match scheduled for early morning on October 17, 2026. Its structure may involve multiple maps, impacting the progression of teams in the competition.
If over 2.5 maps are played in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026: Spirit Academy vs. The Warriors Dota 2 match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 at 6:00 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting patterns and perceived biases, while this market relies on individuals directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence in the teams involved. It's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust based on supply and demand, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of expectations. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s mechanism ensures that prices remain competitive and accurately reflect the aggregated beliefs of all participants.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total number of maps played in the Spirit Academy vs. The Warriors match will be the determining factor. The resolution will be based on official results published by the event organizers and verified against credible public sources. Traders will be able to view the final outcome and any relevant supporting documentation on Kalshi following the event’s completion.
Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding player injuries, team strategies, or changes in team composition could significantly impact perceived probabilities. Unexpected announcements about the match schedule or venue could also cause shifts in the market. Furthermore, the release of updated team rankings or performance statistics, or even significant social media discussion surrounding the match, could all contribute to price movements. Strong performance by either team in preceding matches is also likely to move this market.