TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 7:16 PM EST
Kalshi
In an upcoming Dota 2 tournament, two teams, Spirit Academy and The Warriors, will compete in a best-of series. The outcome hinges on which team secures victory in the second map of their match, determining the winner of this specific market.
This event resolves based on the result of map 2 in the EPL Masters Play-In 2026 match between Spirit Academy and The Warriors, scheduled for October 17, 2026, at 6:00 AM EDT. If Spirit Academy wins map 2, the first market resolves to Yes; if The Warriors win map 2, the second market resolves to Yes. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, both markets resolve to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, resolution follows the official result from the governing body. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to express their belief about the outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of either Spirit Academy or The Warriors winning. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of that outcome occurring – in this case, either Spirit Academy or The Warriors winning map 2. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific outcome, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price reflects the collective assessment of all traders participating in this market, and is constantly updated based on supply and demand for each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of map 2 in the Spirit Academy vs. The Warriors match, as reported by the tournament organizers. The platform will verify the result against publicly available sources to determine which team secured victory and settle the contracts accordingly. Traders holding contracts on the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing outcome will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding player form, team strategies, or unexpected roster changes for either Spirit Academy or The Warriors could significantly shift trader sentiment. In-game performance during other matches in the tournament, or even general momentum shifts within the esports scene, might also impact trading activity. Major upsets in related matches could cause traders to reassess the probabilities, leading to price fluctuations in this market. Unexpected announcements regarding the match itself could also be a catalyst.