TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 2:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between Spezia and Livorno in the Coppa Italia Lega Pro. Bettors can speculate on whether Spezia will win, Livorno will win, or the game will end in a tie within regular time. The resolution depends solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Spezia vs Livorno professional Coppa Italia Lega Pro soccer match originally scheduled for October 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome applies to the specific market corresponding to the winning team or a tied result. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will instead resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under exceptional circumstances.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small team of experts, while this market aggregates insights from many individuals. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as each relies on different information and analytical approaches. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, though they represent distinct viewpoints on the likely outcome of the Spezia vs Livorno match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the Spezia vs Livorno match. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform uses a market maker system to ensure there are always bids and asks available, facilitating trading and price discovery.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Spezia vs Livorno match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress and any potential factors that could influence the final result leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 28, 2026. Key events include any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Spezia or Livorno, changes in team form or tactical approaches, and even weather conditions on match day. Unexpected announcements about team lineups or managerial decisions could also significantly shift market sentiment. Public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, can also play a role in driving price movements within this market.