TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.5b
24H VOL:
$271,200,656
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,922,627,141
420,368
Markets across
40,352
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,484
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 10, 4:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of an upcoming professional soccer match between two teams competing in an official league. The result will be determined based on the final score after the regulation period, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can speculate on which team will win or if the game will end in a draw.
The event resolves based on the result of the Spezia vs Gubbio professional Serie C soccer match scheduled for October 10, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Spezia wins, the 'Spezia' market resolves to Yes. If Gubbio wins, the 'Gubbio' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. The event exclusively considers regulation time results, with no account for extra time or penalty outcomes.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by real-money trading and the beliefs of individuals. Therefore, you may observe differences between the implied probabilities in this market and those offered by sportsbooks. It’s common to see prediction markets react quickly to new information, potentially leading to odds movements that differ from those seen at sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities based on collective sentiment regarding the Spezia vs Gubbio match.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Spezia vs Gubbio match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The outcome will be determined by the official result of the match, including any extra time or penalty shootouts if applicable. The platform will verify the result against trusted sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all contracts associated with this market.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market before Oct 10, 2026. News regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Spezia or Gubbio would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about key personnel or changes in coaching staff could also shift the odds. Any significant information released that alters the perceived probability of either team winning, or the likelihood of a draw, will likely be reflected in the market price.