TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Nov 2, 2:50 PM EST
Kalshi
A professional basketball contest in the Adriatic ABA league pits two teams against each other. The market settles based on which team achieves the win.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the men's professional Adriatic ABA basketball game as scheduled. If postponed within 48 hours, markets remain open and resolve based on the final result. Cancellations or failures to start within 48 hours result in fair price resolution. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, aiming to balance risk and attract betting action. This market, however, allows individuals to express their own informed opinions, which can lead to odds that diverge from traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges. It’s common to see differences, as prediction markets can sometimes incorporate information not fully reflected in sportsbook pricing.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the game’s result. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay for a contract that pays out if their predicted outcome happens.
This market resolves around Nov 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Spartak Subotica versus KK Mega Basket Belgrade basketball game. The final score, as reported by official sources, will determine which outcome is considered the winner. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for losing outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of this market leading up to Nov 2, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries or suspensions for either Spartak Subotica or KK Mega Basket Belgrade would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, coaching decisions, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also shift market sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the game's location or scheduling could also cause price fluctuations as traders reassess the probabilities of different outcomes.