TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 14, 10:21 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match in the Slovakian Cup between Spartak Myjava and Ruzomberok. The result is determined based on the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Spartak Myjava vs Ruzomberok professional Slovakian Cup soccer match scheduled for October 14, 2026, after the full 90 minutes of regulation time plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Spartak Myjava, a win for Ruzomberok, or a tie. If the match ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the defined procedures. The event specifically excludes outcomes determined during extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing solely on the result at the end of regulation and stoppage time.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market allows anyone to trade based on their own information and analysis. This can lead to discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction market probabilities diverge from initial sportsbook offerings, especially closer to the event date, as traders incorporate a wider range of factors into their assessments.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the market’s probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting growing confidence in that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined entirely by supply and demand, meaning it’s a direct reflection of what traders are willing to pay or receive for a given outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market remains responsive to new information and changing perceptions.
This market resolves around Oct 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Slovak League match between Spartak Myjava and Ruzomberok, as reported by official league sources. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift trader sentiment. Match previews from reputable sports analysts, along with updates on team form and recent performance, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, significant betting volume on either side could drive price movements, as traders react to perceived advantages or disadvantages. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match interviews with key players could also contribute to shifts in the market.