TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 4:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total number of goals scored in an upcoming Eredivisie soccer match between Sparta and Willem II. Bettors assess whether the combined goals from both teams will exceed specific thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the match's final score after regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootout.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total goals scored in the Sparta vs Willem II Eredivisie match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals from both teams exceed the specified threshold—0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5—after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalties. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is assessed separately, and resolution for each depends solely on whether the actual total goals meet or exceed its unique cutoff. The governing rules emphasize that Kalshi has no official affiliation with the league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trades. It's common to see discrepancies between the two, especially when there's significant public interest or disagreement about the likely outcome. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights into market sentiment and potential value opportunities. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities, and neither guarantees accuracy.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s current expectation of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding each potential goal total. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the total number of goals scored in the Sparta vs Willem II match will be used to determine the winning contract. The official match result, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total goals will receive a payout, while those holding losing contracts will forfeit their investment. The final result will be publicly available following the conclusion of the match.
Several factors could influence the Sparta vs Willem II goals market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the playing style or scoring opportunities, could also move the market. Late-breaking team news, such as changes to the starting lineup or tactical adjustments, could also cause price fluctuations. Finally, general shifts in public sentiment or large trades on Kalshi could contribute to movement in this market as the match draws closer.