TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.1b

24H VOL:

$181,481,432

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,983,476,643

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,827,991,073

405,996

Markets across

40,551

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,368

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Sparta vs Willem II: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Sparta vs Willem II?

Volume:
$5,692

Sparta wins by more than 1.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Sparta wins by more than 1.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 4:53 PM EST

kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sparta wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,731
N/A
N/A
$1,642
Settled
No
kalshi

Sparta wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,043
N/A
N/A
$971
Settled
No
kalshi

Willem II wins by more than 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$856
N/A
N/A
$739
Settled
No
kalshi

Sparta wins by more than 3.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$752
N/A
N/A
$752
Settled
No
kalshi

Willem II wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
$310
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sparta and Willem II, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on whether the winning team achieves a specified goal differential threshold. The match is part of the Eredivisie league and follows standard soccer timing rules.

Kalshi

The event evaluates different goal-differential thresholds for determining a winning outcome in the Sparta versus Willem II Eredivisie match scheduled for October 17, 2026. Resolution is based solely on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Four distinct criteria are applied: Sparta winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sparta winning by more than 1.5 goals, Willem II winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Willem II winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any market satisfying its respective condition resolves to 'Yes,' with all markets operating independently. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Sparta vs Willem II match tracks the current odds, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. You’ll find a visual representation of how the market is pricing the outcome, along with the total volume traded, currently at $5,692, and the 24-hour volume, which is $5,263. This allows traders to quickly assess market sentiment and identify potential opportunities. The dashboard provides a real-time view of how participants are evaluating the likelihood of different outcomes in this contest.

Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the true probability of an event. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply variations in analytical approaches. It's common to see prediction market odds move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market's assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume provide insights into the confidence level behind the current pricing, and traders can analyze the order book to identify potential arbitrage opportunities or express their own informed opinions.

This market resolves around Oct 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the result of the Sparta vs Willem II match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be used to determine the winner and whether the spread was covered. The resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verifiable data sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders will be able to view the resolution details on Kalshi once the event has concluded and the results have been officially confirmed.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 18, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team lineups, or tactical adjustments announced by either Sparta or Willem II could shift expectations. Unexpected weather conditions on match day could also play a role. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, might impact trading activity and cause the odds to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential market movements.