TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 3:58 PM EST
Kalshi
This event focuses on the Eredivisie fixture between Sparta and Willem II, determining if both sides will find the back of the net during the match's regular 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The result depends entirely on whether each team's offense can deliver at least one goal before the final whistle, with own goals counted for the team credited.
If Sparta and Willem II both score a goal in the Sparta vs Willem II Eredivisie match originally scheduled for Oct 17, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for profit margins, while this market is driven purely by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of both teams scoring. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is undervaluing the chance of both teams scoring, the odds on Kalshi will move accordingly, potentially offering a more accurate assessment of the event’s probability. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of both Sparta and Willem II scoring. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their positions based on new information, leading to dynamic price changes. The more traders believe both teams will score, the higher the price of the 'Yes' contract will climb, and vice versa. This creates a fluid and responsive market for predicting the outcome of the match.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on whether both Sparta and Willem II score at least one goal during the match. Official match results from recognized sports data providers will be used to determine the final outcome. The market will then settle, and traders will receive payouts based on their positions at the time of resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Sparta or Willem II would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments, or even weather conditions could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about the starting lineups, or even pre-match analysis from respected football commentators, could all contribute to shifts in the odds. Monitoring these signals can provide valuable insights into potential trading opportunities before Oct 17, 2026.