TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 28, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on predicting the outcome of a professional KNVB soccer match between Sparta and Sittard, focusing solely on the result after regulation time. Bettors can speculate on whether Sparta will win, Sittard will win, or if the match will end in a tie, all determined within the standard 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, emphasizing the immediate final whistle result.
The event determines the winner of a professional KNVB soccer match between Sparta and Sittard, scheduled for October 28, 2026, based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct outcomes are possible: a win for Sparta, a win for Sittard, or a tie. If the match concludes with either team securing a victory within regulation time, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game end in a tie after regulation, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as per the event's secondary rules. The markets operate independently of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own research and insights. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome, they can influence the odds on Kalshi accordingly. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply varying levels of confidence.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract directly reflects the market's assessment of that outcome's likelihood. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust probabilities in real-time. The goal is for the contract prices to converge towards the true probability of each outcome as the event approaches.
This market resolves around Oct 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the result of the regulation time moneyline for the Sparta vs Sittard match will be used to determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final price of that contract at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Weather conditions on game day, as well as any pre-match analysis from sports analysts, could also play a role. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed individuals or groups could cause noticeable shifts in the odds. Monitoring these signals and staying informed about the latest developments surrounding the Sparta vs Sittard match is crucial for understanding potential market movements.