TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$235,918,089
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,884,820,873
413,109
Markets across
40,428
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,364
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 25, 1:44 PM EST
Kalshi
The match between Sparta and Ajax will resolve multiple markets based on the total number of goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of goals, and the outcome depends on whether the actual total exceeds that threshold.
All markets resolve based on the total number of goals scored in the Sparta vs Ajax professional Eredivisie soccer game originally scheduled for Oct 25, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty kicks do not count toward the goal total. Each market specifies a different threshold (0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5 goals), and the market resolves to Yes if the total goals exceed the specified threshold. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of bettors, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by house biases or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market reflects what traders are willing to pay for a specific outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when new information emerges. Comparing the two can provide a broader perspective on the likely result, though each represents a distinct form of forecasting.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the changing expectations. The market's depth—the number of contracts available at different price points—indicates the level of confidence in each outcome. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the final total goals and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Sparta vs Ajax match will be the determining factor. This includes any goals scored during regulation time and any added time, as officially recorded by the governing football association. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the Sparta vs Ajax goals market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either team would likely cause significant shifts. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the style of play, could also move the market. Unexpected tactical announcements from either manager, or even early goals scored in the match itself, would prompt traders to reassess their positions. Any significant updates related to team form or motivation could also influence trading activity in this market.