TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

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$230,589,906

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2,984,028,936

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$1,885,293,300

410,482

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40,213

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4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

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63%

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Sparta Rotterdam vs. Willem II Tilburg
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Sparta Rotterdam vs. Willem II Tilburg?

Volume:
$147,404

Sparta

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 4:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sparta

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$41,110
N/A
N/A
$13,705
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Sparta Rotterdam

View
100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$30,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$51,326
N/A
N/A
$31,761
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Sparta Rotterdam vs. Willem II Tilburg)

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,147
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Willem II

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,736
N/A
N/A
$9,102
Settled
No
polymarket

Willem II Tilburg

View
0%
19%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,057
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II Tilburg scheduled for October 17, 2026. Markets exist for Sparta Rotterdam winning, Willem II Tilburg winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics, with fallback sources specified.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both Polymarket and Kalshi define resolution based on the same timeframe (90 minutes + stoppage time) and handle postponements and cancellations identically.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (Eredivisie.nl).

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is determined by the outcome of the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
  • If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Sparta/Willem II win markets resolve to 'No', and the draw market resolves to 'Yes'.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours, Flashscore is used, then Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting. If no data is available within 24 hours, markets resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores after market resolution will not be considered.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as acceptable data is available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Eredivisie game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II Tilburg.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the match outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A win for either team resolves the respective market to Yes; a tie resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled beyond 48 hours, it resolves to a fair price.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Sparta Rotterdam vs. Willem II match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a probability of approximately 62% that Sparta Rotterdam will win, with a total volume of $147,404. This represents the collective wisdom of traders forecasting the result. We track these probabilities and volume to provide a comprehensive overview of market sentiment. The dashboard allows you to compare how different platforms are pricing the same event, offering a unique perspective on the potential outcome of this contest.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often reflect a more accurate forecast than traditional sportsbook odds. This is because prediction markets incentivize participants to reveal their true beliefs, while sportsbooks must account for profit margins and potential biases. The volume of $147,404 traded on this market demonstrates active participation and informed speculation. Sportsbooks may initially set odds based on public perception or team statistics, but prediction markets can quickly adjust as new information emerges and more traders weigh in. Therefore, comparing the odds can offer valuable insights into the perceived probability of different outcomes.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying levels of expertise and information. Trading fees and platform-specific rules can also influence price discovery. Additionally, the volume traded on each platform—currently $147,404—impacts liquidity and price stability. Polymarket currently favors Sparta Rotterdam winning at approximately 62%, while Kalshi leans toward a different outcome. These differences highlight the dynamic nature of prediction markets and the importance of considering multiple sources of information.