TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$290,393,159
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,944,100,805
420,493
Markets across
40,511
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 1:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sparta Prague and Pardubice. Bettors can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude without a clear winner. The resolution depends strictly on the result after the standard playing time, excluding any extended periods or penalty shootouts.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Sparta Prague vs Pardubice professional Czech First League soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, determined after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, but not including extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Sparta Prague market occurs if Sparta Prague wins the match within this timeframe. Similarly, a 'Yes' for the Pardubice market occurs if Pardubice achieves a victory within the same timeframe. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends with an equal score after regular time plus stoppage. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform’s rules. All markets are independent and reflect only the specific conditions outlined for each outcome.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set their odds based on statistical models and expert analysis, but can also be influenced by factors like public betting patterns and risk management. This market, driven by informed traders, may converge with or diverge from sportsbook odds as new information emerges. Polls and analysts’ predictions often fall between the initial sportsbook lines and the prediction market prices, but this can change as the event approaches and more data becomes available.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective belief. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price movement is driven by supply and demand; if many traders believe an outcome is likely, they will buy contracts, driving up the price, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time forecast of the event’s outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Sparta Prague vs Pardubice match, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual event outcome. Traders holding contracts on the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence this market between now and Oct 11, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, team form, changes in coaching staff, or even weather conditions could shift the perceived probabilities. Unexpected results in other matches involving either Sparta Prague or Pardubice could also impact the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can cause price movements, as traders react to new information or express their own informed opinions about the match’s likely outcome.