TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.8b
24H VOL:
$277,138,640
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,905,404,943
412,077
Markets across
39,838
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,526
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 10:51 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional Tweede Divisie soccer match between Spakenburg and Amsterdamsche FC. The result will be determined based on the final score after 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. The event covers three possible outcomes: a win for either team or a tie.
The event resolves based on the result of the Spakenburg vs Amsterdamsche FC professional Tweede Divisie soccer match originally scheduled for October 3, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs if the specified team wins the match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. If the match ends in a tie after the same regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the event rules. The resolution strictly considers the result within regular time, with no account for post-regulation proceedings such as extra time or penalty shootouts.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of participants, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see differences emerge, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment changes. Examining these discrepancies can be valuable for informed decision-making, though it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate and new information emerges, these prices fluctuate, providing a dynamic assessment of the event's likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential results of the Spakenburg vs Amsterdamsche FC match.
This market resolves around Oct 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Spakenburg vs Amsterdamsche FC match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against publicly available data to ensure accuracy and transparency. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the winning outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or unexpected player suspensions could significantly shift expectations. Match previews, expert analysis, and even weather conditions leading up to the game could also play a role. Additionally, large trading volume from informed participants or shifts in public sentiment can create momentum and impact the odds. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential price fluctuations before Oct 3, 2026.