TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Spain vs. England
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Spain vs. England?

Total volume:
$0
Volume 24h:
N/AN/A
Liquidity:
$638
0%
Open interest:
$0N/A

Spain

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 15, 2026

Time left: 12d:20h:48m

Spain wins

81%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 81¢ buys you 123 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $123 | Net Profit: $23 Multiplier: 1.23x | ROI: 23% APY not meaningful 12 days to resolution
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Spain

Trade
N/A
N/A
50¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 20h
Active
polymarket

Spain

Trade
63%
Yes 88¢No 63¢
51¢
$220
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 50.5¢Max: 51¢
kalshi

England

Trade
N/A
N/A
40¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 20h
Active
polymarket

England

Trade
22%
Yes 39¢No 96¢
35¢
$259
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 37.5¢Max: 40¢
kalshi

Tie

Trade
N/A
N/A
51¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 20h
Active
polymarket

Draw (Spain vs. England)

Trade
28%
Yes 50¢No 95¢
45¢
$159
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 5d 17h
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
N/A
Avg: 48¢Max: 51¢
Total markets: 6

Description

This group covers the outcome of a UEFA Nations League soccer match between Spain and England scheduled for November 15, 2026. Markets ask whether Spain will win, England will win, or the game will end in a draw, all within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket has detailed no-result and abandonment rules, while Kalshi lacks explicit provisions for these scenarios.Hero tip: Be aware of the potential for a 'No' resolution on Polymarket if the game is abandoned or canceled, even if a result seemed likely during play. Kalshi's market is more directly tied to a result within 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: If the game is canceled, does not start by Tuesday, November 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No". Detailed abandonment rules apply, referencing official rulings and potential replays.
  • Kalshi: If Spain wins the Spain vs England professional UEFA Nations League soccer game originally scheduled for Nov 15, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes. No mention of cancellation or abandonment.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Spain and England, originally scheduled for Sunday, November 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event):

Kalshi

The event determines the winner of the Spain vs England professional UEFA Nations League soccer match scheduled for November 15, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. Three possible outcomes are considered: Spain wins, England wins, or the match ends in a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price according to the platform’s guidelines. The resolution strictly adheres to the official match result as recognized by the governing league, without regard to any post-match events or tie-breaking procedures such as extra time or penalties.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Spain vs. England match. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $0, with $0 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders on each platform. The dashboard displays the probabilities as implied by the prices on each market, offering a comparative look at expectations for the match’s result. This provides a unique perspective beyond traditional sportsbooks, as it represents real money at stake.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the incentive structures and information aggregation methods. Sportsbooks set odds to ensure profitability, incorporating a margin, while prediction markets allow traders to directly express their beliefs. This can lead to more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches and more information becomes available. Furthermore, prediction markets benefit from the ‘wisdom of the crowd,’ where diverse opinions converge to form a collective forecast. However, liquidity – the volume traded – plays a role; lower volume may result in wider spreads compared to established sportsbooks.

This market resolves around Nov 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Spain vs. England match will be used to determine the winning outcome. The outcome of this market will be based on the official result as reported by governing bodies and widely recognized sports news sources. Resolution will be swift and transparent, ensuring all traders are accurately paid out based on the final result.

Several signals could significantly impact this market before Nov 15, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Major tactical changes announced by either manager could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions predicted for the match location could also play a role. Finally, any significant public endorsements or shifts in betting patterns observed elsewhere could contribute to movements in the market, as traders react to new information and adjust their predictions.