TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 3, 6:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This prediction market asks for the winner of the second half of a UEFA Nations League match between Spain and Czechia. Resolution depends on which team scores more goals in the second half, including stoppage time, or if the result is a draw. Cancellation of the game results in a draw resolution.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Spain and Czechia, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain score more goals than Czechia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Spain and Czechia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Czechia" if Czechia score more goals than Spain in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming UEFA Nations League game between Spain and Czechia, scheduled for October 3, 2026 at 2:45 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Spain" if Spain score more goals than Czechia in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Spain and Czechia score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Czechia" if Czechia score more goals than Spain in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
Prediction market odds, like those displayed for this market, often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets allow anyone to express their belief about the outcome. This can lead to discrepancies, especially when public sentiment strongly differs from the sportsbook's initial assessment. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook odds, incorporating information and opinions not fully captured by traditional methods. Examining both can provide a more nuanced understanding of potential outcomes.
Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict may differ due to variations in user base, trading volume, and market-specific rules. Polymarket tends to attract a different demographic of traders compared to Predict, which can influence price discovery. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform—currently $15 overall—is not evenly distributed, leading to potential price discrepancies. Different risk appetites and information access among users on each platform also contribute to these variations. These factors create independent price signals, even for the same underlying event.