TOTAL VOLUME:
$139.4b
24H VOL:
$152,239,259
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,540,891,627
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,622,981,384
471,589
Markets across
36,389
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,918
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 2:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Spain will defeat Cape Verde by more than 1.5 goals in their FIFA World Cup match scheduled for June 15, 2026. On Kalshi, the probability that Spain wins by over 1.5 goals stands at 7.0%, with Spain winning by over 2.5 goals at 2.0%. Resolution is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by official FIFA records. Watch the match kickoff on June 15, 2026, when the actual goal margin will be established.
The spread is determined by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A positive spread indicates Spain's margin of victory, while a negative spread indicates Cape Verde's margin of victory. The event resolves based on the goal differential in the Spain vs Cape Verde professional FIFA World Cup soccer game originally scheduled for June 15, 2026.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi often differ from traditional sportsbook spreads because they reflect real-money trader consensus rather than bookmaker pricing models. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from many participants. For Spain vs Cape Verde: Spread, comparing Kalshi odds to major sportsbooks like DraftKings or FanDuel can reveal whether traders are more or less confident than oddsmakers. These differences may signal value or highlight information asymmetries between the two pricing mechanisms.
On Kalshi, Spain vs Cape Verde: Spread is priced as a binary contract reflecting the probability of a specific spread outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares at prices between 0 and 100 cents, with the price directly representing the implied probability. As new information emerges—team injuries, recent form, head-to-head records—traders adjust their positions, moving the market price up or down. Kalshi's order book aggregates all buy and sell interest, and the mid-market price at any moment reflects the current consensus probability among active traders.
The Spain vs Cape Verde: Spread market resolves on Jun 15, 2026. Resolution is determined by the final spread outcome of the match as recorded by official sources. The specific spread threshold and which team must cover it are defined in the market's terms at creation. Once the match concludes and the official result is confirmed, the market settles automatically based on whether the spread condition was met. Traders holding the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless.
Several catalysts could shift the Spain vs Cape Verde: Spread market before Jun 15, 2026. Key player injuries or suspensions, team roster changes, and recent match results will influence trader expectations of the final spread. Pre-match analysis from respected analysts and media coverage may sway sentiment. Weather conditions at the venue, tactical announcements, and head-to-head historical trends could also prompt repricing. As the match date approaches, any official statements from team management or unexpected developments in either squad's form will likely trigger trading activity and price movement on Kalshi.