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$139.1b

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$1,593,041,412

479,659

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,909

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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Spain vs. Belgium
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Spain vs Belgium?

Volume:
$43,920,033

Spain

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 10, 2026

Closed: Jul 10, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Spain

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$21,401,031
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

ESP

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$184,971
$3,299,275
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Draw

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$28,651
$669,641
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Spain vs. Belgium)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,452,187
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

BEL

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$28,146
$1,016,736
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Belgium

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,081,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the FIFA World Cup match between Spain and Belgium on July 10, 2026. Aggregating data from Polymarket and Predict, the consensus probability for a Spain victory stands at 91.0%. Resolution will be determined by official FIFA statistics or credible reporting consensus if official data is unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion. Watch the final whistle on July 10, 2026, when the official 90-minute result will settle all outcome markets.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All markets across both platforms use identical resolution criteria, edge case handling, and official FIFA as primary source with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Official FIFA statistics as recognized by the governing body or event organizers; credible reporting consensus if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion

Core resolution logic:

  • Spain win market resolves Yes if Spain scores more goals than Belgium within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise No
  • Belgium win market resolves Yes if Belgium scores more goals than Spain within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise No
  • Draw market resolves Yes if both teams have equal goals within 90 minutes plus stoppage time; otherwise No
  • Resolution scope is limited to first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded
  • Official final result as declared by FIFA is binding; revisions made after market resolution are not recognized

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date
  • Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Spain win and Belgium win markets resolve No; draw market resolves Yes
  • Delayed Official Statistics: If FIFA does not publish final match statistics within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting sources
  • Post-Resolution Score Revision: Any official score revisions made after market resolution will not be recognized; the declared final result at time of resolution is binding
Timing: Resolution occurs immediately upon official declaration of the final match result by FIFA or governing body, or within 2 hours post-match if official statistics are delayed and credible reporting consensus is usedOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, July 10, 2026 between Spain and Belgium.

Predict

This event is for the upcoming FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for Friday, July 10, 2026 between Spain and Belgium.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction markets like those tracked here operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed odds set by a bookmaker. This means prices reflect live supply and demand from thousands of independent traders rather than a single entity's margin. Sportsbooks typically embed a built-in edge, whereas prediction markets often tighten around fair value as volume grows. For this matchup, comparing this market's consensus to major sportsbooks can reveal whether one side is mispriced or if sharp money is flowing in a particular direction.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different user bases, liquidity pools, and trading strategies, which can cause temporary price gaps. Polymarket may see heavier volume from one cohort of traders, while Predict draws another, leading to distinct supply-demand curves. Latency, fee structures, and platform-specific incentives also play a role. Savvy traders monitor these spreads for arbitrage opportunities, though differences typically narrow as informed participants exploit mispricings.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury updates to star players, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical shifts revealed in pre-match press conferences. Betting syndicates and sharp traders often react quickly to these developments, shifting prices on both platforms. Weather conditions, venue factors, and late-breaking news can also trigger volatility. Monitoring sports media, official team channels, and live market activity will help you anticipate moves and time your trades strategically.