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$1,604,186,899

483,972

Markets across

36,666

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,879

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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VS.

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Spain vs. Argentina - More Markets
polymarket
predict

What is the result of Spain vs Argentina?

Volume:
$97,007,000

Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 19, 2026

Closed: Jul 19, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$236,629
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Will the Match Go to Extra Time?

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$1,551
$3,814
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Team to Advance

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.3¢
N/A
$43,352,823
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Team to Win

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$471,374
$6,667,944
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

Argentina (-3.5)

View
93%
Yes 93¢No 7¢
—
$93
$14,428
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Argentina (-3.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spain (-4.5)

View
97%
Yes 97¢No 3¢
—
$422
$6,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spain (-4.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$119,478
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spain (-5.5)

View
98%
Yes 98¢No 2¢
—
N/A
$1,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spain (-5.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$81,072
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Both Teams to Score in First Half

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$59
$84,311
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Both Teams to Score in First Half

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$219,179
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
predict

O/U 6.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$571
$108,547
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373,505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 8.5

View
3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
—
$405
$49,328
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$626,009
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Argentina (-2.5)

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$75
$237,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Argentina (-2.5)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,048,001
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 7.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$220
$83,604
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$373,762
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Spain O/U 1.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$821
$62,647
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spain O/U 1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$334,842
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 4.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$391
$237,915
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,312,679
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

O/U 5.5

View
1%
Yes 1¢No 99¢
—
$125
$91,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 76

Intro

This market tracks whether the Spain vs. Argentina FIFA World Cup match will extend beyond regulation time into extra time. Across Polymarket and Predict, the aggregated consensus shows 100.0% probability for this outcome. Resolution will be determined by the official final score published on fifa.com by FIFA, with credible reporting as a secondary source if official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours. Watch for the match kickoff on July 19, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET to see whether the teams remain tied after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Polymarket and Predict maintain identical resolution criteria for all 16 markets, with consistent handling of postponements, cancellations, source hierarchy, and timing thresholds.Primary resolution logic: Official final score published on fifa.com by FIFA; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours (24 hours for advancement/extra time/penalty markets)

Core resolution logic:

  • Spread markets (Spain/Argentina -1.5 to -5.5): Resolve to the favored team if they win by the specified margin or more goals; otherwise resolve to the other team
  • Over/Under markets (0.5 to 8.5): Resolve to Over if combined goals meet or exceed the threshold; resolve to Under if below
  • Team to Advance market: Resolves to the team officially advancing to the next round or winning the competition, including advancement via regulation, extra time, penalty shootout, or official ruling
  • Extra Time market: Resolves Yes if play begins after 90 minutes plus stoppage time; resolves 50-50 if match ends in draw before extra time
  • Penalty Shootout market: Resolves Yes if match goes to penalty shootout after extra time; resolves 50-50 if match ends in draw before penalties or is abandoned before shootout

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: Markets remain open until the match is completed; no early resolution
  • Match Cancellation: If canceled entirely with no makeup game, all markets resolve 50-50
  • Incomplete Match: If match is started but not completed, resolution uses the official final score as published; applies to all market types
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not recognized; settlement is final upon initial official declaration
  • Source Timing: Standard markets (spreads, over/under) use 2-hour threshold; advancement and format markets (extra time, penalty shootout) use 24-hour threshold for secondary source activation
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official final score is published on fifa.com. Standard markets settle within 2 hours of match conclusion; advancement and format markets settle within 24 hours. Markets remain open if match is postponed until completion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET.

Predict

More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 19 at 3:00 PM ET.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Predict, this dashboard aggregates prediction market odds across multiple venues for the Spain vs. Argentina football match. Traders on both platforms are pricing spread-based outcomes, allowing you to compare how each community values the likely margin of victory. The cross-platform view lets you monitor consensus shifts in real time as new information emerges. By tracking both venues simultaneously, you gain insight into whether one platform's traders are pricing the matchup differently than the other, helping you identify potential value or arbitrage opportunities before the final whistle.

Prediction markets and traditional sportsbooks price outcomes differently. Sportsbooks set odds to balance their book and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets reflect live trader consensus without a built-in house edge. This often makes prediction markets more efficient at capturing true probability, especially as new developments break. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news due to dedicated risk management teams, so comparing both venues can reveal valuable discrepancies for informed bettors.

Polymarket and Predict operate with different user bases, liquidity pools, and trading dynamics, which naturally leads to price divergence on spread outcomes. Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform's traders may weight recent team form, injury reports, or tactical adjustments differently, or one venue may attract more sophisticated bettors who move the line faster. Timing also matters—if news breaks between platforms' updates, one may reprice before the other catches up. These gaps create opportunities for alert traders to exploit temporary mispricings by comparing both markets side by side.

Key catalysts include team roster announcements, injury reports on star players, recent form and head-to-head records, and any tactical shifts disclosed by coaching staff. Weather conditions at the venue, travel disruptions, or unexpected lineup changes can also shift trader sentiment quickly. Social media sentiment and expert analysis may amplify volatility, while major upsets in related matches could reshape expectations about both teams' momentum heading into this fixture.