TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 8:35 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Southern Utah and Idaho, allowing participants to speculate on the margin of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered a win.
All markets resolve based on the official point differential from the Southern Utah vs Idaho college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Idaho wins by exceeding the specified point margin defined in each market, that market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Conversely, if Southern Utah wins by exceeding its respective margin, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed but commence within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets will resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point thresholds.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs, leading to potentially different probabilities. Discrepancies can arise from differing analyses, access to unique information, or simply variations in opinion about the teams involved. Observing these differences can be valuable for informed decision-making.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the Southern Utah vs Idaho game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread being the final result. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market’s efficiency stems from the diverse perspectives and information incorporated by its participants, dynamically adjusting the perceived likelihood of each outcome.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Southern Utah vs Idaho game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution process relies on publicly available data to ensure transparency and accuracy. Traders will be able to see which contracts were successful and receive their payouts accordingly after the game concludes and the results are officially verified.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market before the game takes place. News regarding key player injuries for either Southern Utah or Idaho would likely have a significant impact. Changes in coaching strategies or unexpected weather conditions could also shift expectations. Public sentiment, reflected in polls or expert analyses, might also play a role, though the market’s price is ultimately determined by trading activity on Kalshi. Any developments that alter the perceived competitive balance between the two teams could lead to noticeable shifts in the market.