TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market predicts the total points scored in the Southern Miss versus Troy college football game. Currently, the market assigns a 99.0% probability to the game scoring over 51.5 points on Kalshi. Resolution will be determined based on the final score of the Southern Miss vs Troy game originally scheduled for October 6, 2026, as reported by the official game results. Keep a close watch on the game itself, as the market will resolve following the conclusion of the fixture on October 6, 2026.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Southern Miss and Troy in their college football game scheduled for October 6, 2026 exceeds a specified threshold. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the result is based on the final score of the played game. If the game does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to a different point threshold, with 'Yes' resolving if the total points exceed that threshold and 'No' resolving otherwise.
Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional sportsbook odds, often incorporating a wider range of information and benefiting from the wisdom of the crowd. However, sportsbook odds are readily available and provide a useful benchmark. It’s common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market reflects the collective beliefs of traders on Kalshi. Over time, the prices usually converge as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total points for the Southern Miss vs Troy game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific total occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set accurate prices, as they profit from correctly predicting the outcome. The more a particular total is believed to be likely, the higher the price of its corresponding contract will be.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final score of the Southern Miss vs Troy game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total points scored by both teams will be used to determine which contracts pay out, and at what value. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct total points will receive a payout based on the contract’s price at resolution. The official result will be sourced from established sports data providers.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Southern Miss or Troy teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable to a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might shift market sentiment. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also play a role in shaping the price of this market.