TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$219,029,434
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,869,293,526
411,051
Markets across
40,408
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,377
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 6, 11:44 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Troy or Southern Miss will win their college football game scheduled for October 6, 2026. Currently, Kalshi gives Troy a 95.0% probability of winning, while Southern Miss is at 6.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Southern Miss vs Troy game, as determined by the official result. Keep an eye on the game itself, as the market will resolve to Yes if Southern Miss wins the contest originally scheduled for October 6, 2026, and will resolve to No if Troy wins.
The market resolves based on the official winner of the Southern Miss vs Troy college football game scheduled for October 6, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within that 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price. These rules ensure clarity regardless of scheduling changes, while emphasizing that Kalshi is not connected to the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on statistical models and their own risk assessment, while this market aggregates the views of individuals incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Observing these differences can offer valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true probability lies for the Southern Miss vs Troy game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract indicates the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and place orders, the price adjusts to reflect the evolving consensus. The current price reflects the collective assessment of those trading on Kalshi, and is driven by supply and demand for contracts related to the Southern Miss vs Troy game.
This market resolves around Oct 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final result of the Southern Miss vs Troy game, as officially reported by a trusted source for sports results. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their positions based on the settled outcome. It’s important to monitor the official results to understand how this market concludes.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Oct 7, 2026. Key injuries to star players on either the Southern Miss or Troy teams would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any major news regarding team morale, coaching decisions, or even public betting trends could move the market. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to trade this market effectively.