TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$333,432,169
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,971,286,090
419,492
Markets across
40,634
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,654
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Southern Miss and Louisiana-Monroe. Each market corresponds to a specific margin of victory, allowing participants to bet on whether the winning team will exceed that margin.
All markets resolve based on the official final result of the Southern Miss vs Louisiana-Monroe college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. If Southern Miss wins, markets resolve to Yes if the victory margin exceeds the specified point threshold; if Louisiana-Monroe wins, markets resolve to Yes if their margin exceeds the threshold. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under these contingency conditions.
Generally, prediction market odds tend to reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often aligning with, but sometimes diverging from, traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance betting action on both sides, while this market allows traders to freely express their beliefs about the game's outcome. If there’s a significant difference, it could indicate that prediction market participants have access to information or insights not fully incorporated into sportsbook lines. It’s common to see the market adjust as new information becomes available, potentially leading to a different outcome than initial sportsbook expectations.
This market resolves around Nov 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread of the Southern Miss vs Louisiana-Monroe game, as determined by official game statistics, will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts predicting the actual spread will settle at 100, while those predicting a different spread will settle at 0. The resolution process ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome based on the official results of the game.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Southern Miss or Louisiana-Monroe teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions unfavorable to one team’s playing style, could also impact the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, as well as large trading volume from informed participants, could all contribute to shifts in the price of contracts. Public sentiment and analysis from sports commentators might also play a role.