TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 31, 5:14 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the point differential in the first half of a college football game between Southern Miss and Louisiana-Monroe. Each market corresponds to a specific margin by which either team might win the first half, allowing participants to bet on various possible outcomes.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the first half of the Southern Miss vs Louisiana-Monroe college football game scheduled for October 31, 2026. For any market where the specified team wins by more than the stated point margin in the first half, that market resolves to 'Yes.' If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official first-half result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price, meaning they are settled equitably rather than strictly according to the stated outcomes. These rules apply uniformly across all markets, ensuring consistency in resolution criteria regardless of the point differential threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set their lines based on models and internal analysis, while this market is driven by individuals willing to put their capital behind their beliefs. It's common to see initial discrepancies between the two, as sportsbooks may adjust their lines more slowly to new information. Over time, the market price may converge with sportsbook odds, or it may diverge if traders anticipate factors not fully captured by sportsbook algorithms.
This market resolves around Oct 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the final point spread of the first half of the Southern Miss vs Louisiana-Monroe game will be used to determine which contracts settle positively. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing sports body, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. News regarding injuries to key players on either the Southern Miss or Louisiana-Monroe teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's style of play, could also shift the market. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking news about team morale could also contribute to price movements. Any information that alters perceptions of the likely first-half point spread has the potential to move this market.