TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Time left: 03d:00h:50m
$
This event group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles and Kansas State Wildcats, originally scheduled for November 5, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game, with provisions for cancellation or abandonment.
In the upcoming CWBB game between Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles and Kansas State Wildcats, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve 50-50.
Markets resolve to Yes if the specified team wins the game. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the original time, markets stay open and resolve based on the official result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, markets resolve to a fair price.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to profit from balanced betting, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of traders who have a financial incentive to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets incorporating information more efficiently and potentially offering more accurate probabilities. However, factors like liquidity – currently at a volume of $100 – and market-specific biases can also create discrepancies.
Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Kalshi may diverge due to several factors. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structure, which can influence price formation. Differences in liquidity—the amount of trading activity—can also play a role, as lower liquidity can lead to greater price volatility. Furthermore, information flow and trader sentiment may vary between the two platforms, causing discrepancies in how the market assesses the probability of different outcomes. These factors contribute to the unique dynamics observed on each platform.
This market resolves around Nov 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result of the college basketball game between Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles and Kansas State Wildcats will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market will settle based on the official result declared by the governing body of the sport, ensuring a transparent and objective resolution process. Traders will be able to claim their winnings once the outcome is verified and reported.
Several signals could significantly impact this market before it resolves around Nov 6, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, coaching changes, or team performance could shift expectations. Unexpected upsets in other games impacting team rankings or tournament seeding could also influence trading activity. Public sentiment, reflected in media coverage and social media discussions, can also play a role, particularly if it deviates significantly from the initial market consensus. Major shifts in these factors could lead to substantial price movements in this market as traders adjust their predictions.