TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 9:30 PM EST
Kalshi
Two college football teams will compete in an match scheduled for October 24, 2026. The outcome depends entirely on which team secures a victory in the game. The result reflects the performance of the athletes on the field during the contest.
The market resolves based on the winner of the college football game between Southeastern Louisiana and Stephen F. Austin scheduled for October 24, 2026. If either team wins, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open to resolve based on the final result. If the game is cancelled or does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs through trading. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook is mispricing an outcome, they can take a position in this market, driving the odds closer to their collective assessment. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant news or events related to the game emerge.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the market’s implied probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular result, the price increases, and the implied probability rises. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and order flow determine the current prices, and traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to reflect the collective intelligence of the participants.
This market resolves around Oct 25, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Southeastern Louisiana vs Stephen F. Austin game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. The platform will verify the result against these sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the settlement of all outstanding contracts. Traders holding contracts for the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could influence trading activity and move this market before resolution. Key injuries to star players on either team, changes in weather forecasts that might affect gameplay, or significant news regarding team morale could all impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected coaching decisions or late-breaking reports on player availability are also likely to generate trading volume and price fluctuations. Public sentiment, as reflected in social media and sports news, can also play a role, even if it doesn't directly correlate with fundamental factors.