TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$290,393,159

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,640,614

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,944,100,805

420,493

Markets across

40,511

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

4,612

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Missouri State Bears (W)
⌛Ending Soon
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Southeast Missouri State vs. Missouri State?

Total volume:
$4,248
Volume 24h:
$2,819
3,020%
Liquidity:
$7
100%
Open interest:
$3,942
239%

Missouri St.

 - Kalshi

Missouri St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Nov 2, 2026

Time left: 00h:56m:34s

Missouri St. wins

99%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 99¢ buys you 101 shares | Odds: 99% Total Payout: $101 | Net Profit: $1 Multiplier: 1.01x | ROI: 1% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
You will be redirected to the platform to complete this trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Missouri St.

Trade
99%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,214
127%
21,325%
$2,917
56m
Active
kalshi

Southeast Missouri St.

Trade
1%
Yes 100¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,034
9,875%
N/A
$1,025
56m
Active
polymarket

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Missouri State Bears (W)

Trade
1%
2%
Yes 0.7¢No 99.7¢
—
$7
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
0d 0h 0m
Active
PredictionHero
PH Consensus
N/A
Yes 100¢No 100¢
Avg: 100¢Max: 100¢
Total markets: 3

Description

This prediction group concerns the outcome of a women's college basketball game between Southeast Missouri State Redhawks and Missouri State Bears, scheduled for November 2, 2026. The markets ask who will win the game.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic incorrectly states both teams winning resolves the market to 'Yes'.Hero tip: Prioritize Polymarket as Kalshi's market is logically flawed. Pay attention to potential game postponements or cancellations as per Polymarket's rules.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: The market resolves based on the outcome of the game, with provisions for postponement and cancellation. "This event is for the WBB game between Southeast Missouri State Redhawks and Missouri State Bears on November 2 at 7:30PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50."
  • Kalshi: The market resolves to 'Yes' if either Missouri State or Southeast Missouri State wins. "If Missouri St. wins the Southeast Missouri St. vs Missouri St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Southeast Missouri St. wins the Southeast Missouri St. vs Missouri St. women's college basketball game originally scheduled for Nov 2, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the WBB game between Southeast Missouri State Redhawks and Missouri State Bears on November 2 at 7:30PM ET. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the women's college basketball game originally scheduled for November 2, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, both markets will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the NCAA. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the SEMO vs. Missouri State game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $4,248, with $2,808 traded in the last 24 hours. This reflects the collective predictions of market participants. Polymarket currently favors Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. Missouri State Bears (W) at 0.7%, while Kalshi leans toward Missouri St. wins at 99.0%. The dashboard provides a consensus view, though differing probabilities exist between the two venues.

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often reflect a more diverse range of information than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets aggregate the wisdom of the crowd. This can lead to differences in probabilities, especially as new information emerges. However, both types of odds aim to accurately forecast the likelihood of an event. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly in response to breaking news or shifts in public opinion.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences in pricing between Polymarket and Kalshi can arise from several factors. These platforms have different user bases, trading interfaces, and fee structures, all of which can influence price discovery. The volume traded on each platform also plays a role; a larger volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price. Furthermore, each platform's participants may weigh information differently, leading to diverging opinions on the outcome of the SEMO vs. Missouri State game. These factors contribute to the observed price discrepancies.

This market resolves around Nov 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the SEMO vs. Missouri State game will be used to determine the winning outcome. The market’s resolution will reflect the official result as reported by the governing body of the sport. Traders should monitor official sources for updates as the resolution date approaches to understand how the outcome will be verified.

Several signals could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in player performance could impact the perceived probabilities. Unexpected weather conditions or other external factors that might affect the game could also move the market. Furthermore, large trades on either Polymarket or Kalshi can create momentum and influence prices. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding potential shifts in the market's outlook before resolution.