TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
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2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 24, 6:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will lead at the end of the first half in an upcoming college football game between Southeast Missouri State and Eastern Illinois. It focuses solely on the scoring during the first half, ignoring the final game result. The outcome depends on whether one team secures a lead or if the half ends in a tie.
The market resolves based on the result of the first half of the Southeast Missouri State versus Eastern Illinois college football game scheduled for October 24, 2026. If Eastern Illinois scores more points than Southeast Missouri State in the first half, the 'Eastern Illinois' outcome settles as Yes. Conversely, if Southeast Missouri State outscores Eastern Illinois in the first half, its outcome settles as Yes. Should the teams be tied at the end of the first half, the 'Tie' outcome resolves as Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves according to the actual first-half result. If the game fails to start within this 48-hour window, the market settles at a fair price, ensuring a balanced resolution for all participants.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks typically set lines to balance betting action and ensure profitability, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. It's common to see discrepancies, particularly before significant information emerges or as public sentiment changes. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the expected result of the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each possible outcome. The price of each contract reflects the market’s collective assessment of that outcome’s probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect new information and changing opinions. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current top outcome, according to traders on Kalshi, is a tie in the first half, though the market is still actively trading and subject to change. The price movements are driven entirely by supply and demand among traders.
This market resolves around Oct 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winner of the first half of the Southeast Missouri vs Eastern Illinois game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official result as reported by the governing sports organization, ensuring an objective and verifiable outcome. Traders holding the winning contract will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution.
Several factors could influence trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Southeast Missouri or Eastern Illinois team would likely cause significant price movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact the game, could also shift expectations. Additionally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Public perception, as reflected in polls or expert analysis, can also contribute to fluctuations in the market price.