TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.3b
24H VOL:
$228,458,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,879,276,037
410,833
Markets across
40,345
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,363
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 9:00 AM EST
Kalshi
The match between Southampton and Portsmouth will determine if more than zero goals are scored in total. This includes any goals scored during the 90 minutes of play plus any added stoppage time, but excludes extra time or penalty shootout goals.
Each market resolves based on whether a specified number of goals (over 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, or 5.5) are scored in the Southampton vs Portsmouth professional EFL Championship soccer game scheduled for Oct 11, 2026. The resolution considers goals scored after 90 minutes of play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. All markets are independent, and the outcome is determined solely by the total goals scored within regular time plus stoppage time.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which can be influenced by factors like house bias or promotional offers. Sportsbooks may also adjust their lines more quickly based on significant bets or news, while this market allows for a more continuous aggregation of diverse opinions. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before a significant amount of volume accumulates, as this market is driven by individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome of the Southampton vs Portsmouth match.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total goal outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's expectation of that outcome occurring. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments to probabilities as new information becomes available, creating a constantly evolving assessment of the match's potential goal tally.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total goals scored in the Southampton vs Portsmouth match will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on the official match statistics as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders will be able to see the confirmed result and any associated payouts on Kalshi following the conclusion of the game.
Several factors could influence this market before the match concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Southampton or Portsmouth would likely cause significant movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all impact trader sentiment. Unexpected pre-match lineups or reports of internal team issues could also shift the probabilities. As the game approaches, any significant betting activity in traditional sportsbooks might also be reflected in this market.