TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$245,801,863
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,902,097,102
417,059
Markets across
40,178
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,415
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 11, 8:57 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Southampton and Portsmouth. Bettors can speculate on whether Southampton, Portsmouth, or a tied result will occur after the full regulation time of the game. The resolution depends strictly on the result after 90 minutes plus any added stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Southampton vs Portsmouth professional EFL Championship soccer match scheduled for October 11, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective markets if Southampton, Portsmouth, or a tie is the final score at the end of regulation time. Extra time and penalty shootouts do not affect the resolution. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the markets will resolve to a fair price as determined per the platform's guidelines. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance their action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. If a significant discrepancy exists, it may indicate that the crowd believes the sportsbook is mispricing the event. It’s common to see prediction markets move more efficiently and incorporate new information faster than traditional odds, especially as the event draws closer.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The platform uses a margin system, and traders must deposit collateral to cover potential losses, ensuring the market remains solvent and accurately reflects the collective prediction.
This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Southampton vs Portsmouth match, as determined by the governing sporting body. The platform will verify the result against established sources to ensure accuracy and finalize the payouts to traders who correctly predicted the outcome of this market. It’s important to monitor news sources as the event approaches for any potential delays or changes.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Southampton or Portsmouth would likely cause price movement. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather forecasts could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected news regarding team morale or off-field issues could also play a role. As the match date approaches, any updates from reliable sources will be closely watched by traders and reflected in the market prices.