TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.4b
24H VOL:
$230,589,906
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,028,936
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,885,293,300
410,482
Markets across
40,213
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,340
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 17, 2:40 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming EFL Championship game between Southampton FC and Bolton Wanderers FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Southampton FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
In the upcoming EFL Championship game between Southampton FC and Bolton Wanderers FC, scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Southampton FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in each possible exact score. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. As more traders buy shares in a particular outcome, its price increases, and its implied probability rises. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market's efficiency depends on the number of participants and the information they incorporate into their trading decisions. Currently, the most likely outcome, according to the market, is Southampton FC 1 - 0 Bolton Wanderers FC.
This market resolves around Oct 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the Southampton FC versus Bolton Wanderers FC match will be used to determine the winning outcome. Any official result published by a recognized sports data provider will serve as the basis for settlement. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score will receive a payout based on the market’s final probabilities at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the probabilities in this market before resolution. Any news regarding key player injuries or suspensions for either Southampton FC or Bolton Wanderers FC would likely cause significant shifts. Unexpected changes in team formations or managerial decisions could also impact the market. Furthermore, weather conditions on match day, or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators, could sway trader sentiment and alter the odds. A late surge in betting activity on a particular scoreline could also move this market considerably.