TOTAL VOLUME:

$154.4b

24H VOL:

$230,589,906

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,984,028,936

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,885,293,300

410,482

Markets across

40,213

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MATCHED EVENTS:

4,340

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

37%

VS.

Kalshi:

63%

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Southampton FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Southampton FC vs Bolton Wanderers FC?

Volume:
$118,557

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 17, 2026

Closed: Oct 17, 11:58 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$23,230
N/A
N/A
$13,900
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Southampton FC vs. Bolton Wanderers FC)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$9,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Southampton FC

0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,323
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Southampton

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$26,076
N/A
N/A
$12,282
Settled
No
kalshi

Bolton

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,277
N/A
N/A
$12,959
Settled
No
polymarket

Bolton Wanderers FC

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of a soccer match between Southampton FC and Bolton Wanderers FC scheduled for October 17, 2026. Markets exist for Southampton winning, Bolton winning, and the game ending in a draw. Resolution relies on official match statistics.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

All platforms agree on the core resolution criteria: 90 minutes plus stoppage time, official sources prioritized, and specific outcomes for cancellation/postponement.Primary resolution logic: Official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers (EFL.com).

Core resolution logic:

  • The outcome is determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • If the game is canceled with no makeup game, the 'Southampton Win' and 'Bolton Win' markets resolve to 'No', and the 'Draw' market resolves to 'Yes'.
  • If the game is postponed, markets remain open until the game is completed.

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Data Availability: If official statistics are unavailable within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, Flashscore data will be used, followed by Sofascore, and finally a consensus of credible reporting. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours, the markets will resolve 50-50 or to 'Draw' where applicable.
  • Score Revisions: Revisions to officially declared final scores made *after* market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Timing: Resolution will occur as soon as acceptable data is available, but no later than 24 hours after the event's conclusion.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming EFL Championship game, scheduled for Saturday, October 17, 2026 between Southampton FC and Bolton Wanderers FC.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the result of the Southampton vs Bolton professional EFL Championship soccer match originally scheduled for October 17, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Southampton wins, the 'Southampton' market resolves to Yes. If Bolton wins, the 'Bolton' market resolves to Yes. If the match ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The resolution excludes outcomes from extra time or penalty shootouts, focusing only on the result at the end of regular time.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Southampton vs. Bolton match. Currently, the aggregated view shows a volume of $118,557 across both platforms, with Polymarket showing a strong consensus around a particular result. This allows for a cross-platform view of prediction market sentiment, providing a more robust signal than any single venue. The dashboard combines data from both venues to give you a comprehensive overview of how traders are pricing the likelihood of different scenarios in this match.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives of participants. Sportsbooks aim to profit by setting lines that attract balanced betting, while prediction market participants are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This can lead to prediction markets reflecting a ‘wisdom of the crowd’ effect, potentially offering more accurate probabilities. However, sportsbook odds benefit from established modeling and risk management techniques. Comparing the two can reveal discrepancies and potentially identify value in either market for this market.