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410,833

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4,363

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South Point 400 Winner
kalshi

Who will win the South Point 400?

Volume:
$3,329,054

Chase Briscoe

 - Kalshi

Chase Briscoe - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Oct 4, 2026

Closed: Oct 4, 11:09 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Chase Briscoe

View
100%
92%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$329,778
N/A
N/A
$203,301
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Christopher Bell

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$290,642
N/A
N/A
$170,167
Settled
No
kalshi

Kyle Larson

View
0%
16%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$282,396
N/A
N/A
$208,992
Settled
No
kalshi

Denny Hamlin

View
0%
24%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$267,402
N/A
N/A
$207,463
Settled
No
kalshi

William Byron

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$226,010
N/A
N/A
$179,588
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Reddick

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$199,401
N/A
N/A
$162,037
Settled
No
kalshi

Bubba Wallace

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198,633
N/A
N/A
$143,214
Settled
No
kalshi

Chase Elliott

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$198,146
N/A
N/A
$168,146
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Blaney

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180,074
N/A
N/A
$147,275
Settled
No
kalshi

Austin Cindric

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$159,195
N/A
N/A
$139,588
Settled
No
kalshi

Joey Logano

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$152,497
N/A
N/A
$139,341
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Gibbs

View
0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$144,282
N/A
N/A
$127,686
Settled
No
kalshi

Carson Hocevar

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$138,732
N/A
N/A
$131,991
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Suarez

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$109,806
N/A
N/A
$106,853
Settled
No
kalshi

Alex Bowman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$88,200
N/A
N/A
$85,234
Settled
No
kalshi

Ross Chastain

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$85,953
N/A
N/A
$85,061
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Buescher

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$78,514
N/A
N/A
$74,956
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Berry

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$40,757
N/A
N/A
$40,349
Settled
No
kalshi

Brad Keselowski

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$38,425
N/A
N/A
$38,024
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Preece

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,402
N/A
N/A
$24,256
Settled
No
kalshi

Shane van Gisbergen

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,169
N/A
N/A
$24,169
Settled
No
kalshi

Connor Zilisch

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,330
N/A
N/A
$10,330
Settled
No
kalshi

Riley Herbst

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,395
N/A
N/A
$7,395
Settled
No
kalshi

AJ Allmendinger

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,383
N/A
N/A
$7,383
Settled
No
kalshi

Ty Dillon

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,497
N/A
N/A
$6,497
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 36

Intro

This market tracks which driver will win the 2026 South Point 400 NASCAR race. Currently, Kalshi gives Cup Series: Chase Briscoe wins a 99.0% probability. The market resolves based on the official race results as determined by the resolution source, specifically if AJ Allmendinger finishes in first in the main race at the 2026 South Point 400 originally scheduled for Oct 4, 2026. Keep a close eye on the qualifying results on October 3, 2026, as these will heavily influence the final outcome before the race begins on October 4, 2026.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on whether the specified driver finishes first in the main race of the 2026 South Point 400, scheduled for October 4, 2026. If the driver retires, is disqualified, or is not classified as a finisher, the market resolves as No. If the race is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves according to the final official results. If the race is canceled or does not start within 48 hours of the scheduled time, all markets resolve at a fair price. Official NASCAR results are used for determination, and provisional results are not considered. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for this market tracks the continuously updating odds of each driver winning the NASCAR Cup Series championship. You’ll find a price history showing how those odds have changed over time, along with the 24-hour trading volume, currently at $2,666,024. The total volume traded on this market is $3,329,054. This allows you to see which drivers are currently favored by traders and how sentiment is shifting as the racing season progresses. The dashboard provides a real-time view of the collective prediction for the NASCAR Cup Series championship.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often diverging from initial sportsbook lines as new information emerges. Sportsbooks set initial odds based on statistical models and expert opinions, while this market incorporates a broader range of perspectives from traders who actively buy and sell contracts. This can lead to prediction market odds being more accurate, especially as the event approaches and more data becomes available. However, sportsbook odds may sometimes be more efficient for heavily covered events, and discrepancies can arise due to differing risk assessments and market dynamics.

This market resolves around Oct 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official results of the NASCAR Cup Series championship race, specifically identifying the driver who is declared the winner by NASCAR. The platform will then determine the winning contract based on that official result. It’s important to note that the resolution process relies on publicly available and verifiable information to ensure a fair and accurate outcome for all traders participating in this market.

Several factors could significantly shift the odds in this market. Driver performance in upcoming races is a major catalyst, with strong finishes boosting a driver’s chances and increasing contract prices. Unexpected accidents or mechanical failures affecting key contenders could also cause substantial movement. News regarding team changes, sponsorship deals, or even driver health can influence trader sentiment. Finally, any significant changes to the NASCAR rulebook or race schedule could also impact the perceived probabilities and lead to price adjustments in this market.