TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.7b
24H VOL:
$279,496,801
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,923,931,766
416,910
Markets across
40,107
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,571
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 11:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the scoring performance of both teams in an upcoming college football game, allowing participants to speculate on whether each team will exceed various point thresholds. The outcomes are determined by the official game results, with specific provisions for schedule changes.
All markets resolve based on whether the specified team scores over the designated point threshold in the South Florida vs UTSA college football game scheduled for Oct 8, 2026. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by individuals trading based on their own information and beliefs. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can influence the price on Kalshi, potentially creating a divergence. It’s common to see prediction markets offer more accurate probabilities, especially as the event approaches.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the South Florida vs UTSA game. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final team totals from the South Florida vs UTSA game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score will be sourced from official game statistics and used to determine which outcome corresponds to the actual result. The market will then settle, and winning contracts will be paid out according to the final outcome. Traders should monitor official sources for the game’s results to understand when the market will officially resolve.
Several factors could influence this market before the game takes place. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the South Florida or UTSA teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest adverse conditions impacting the game, could also shift expectations. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, large volume trades on Kalshi itself, driven by informed traders, can create momentum and impact the price of contracts in this market.