TOTAL VOLUME:
$154.6b
24H VOL:
$323,326,361
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,984,640,614
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,969,435,260
419,363
Markets across
40,411
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,612
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
37%
VS.
Kalshi:
63%
Closed: Oct 8, 9:10 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks various scoring thresholds for the first half of a college football game between South Florida and UTSA. Participants can speculate on whether the combined points scored will exceed specific values. The outcome depends solely on the official game result.
All markets resolve based on the total points scored by both teams during the first half of the South Florida vs UTSA college football game scheduled for October 8, 2026. Each market has a different threshold, ranging from over 2.5 points to over 41.5 points. If the combined score exceeds the specified threshold for a given market, it resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Only points scored in the first half count. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, the market remains open and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within 48 hours, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the NCAA, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbook odds are typically set by a small group of experts, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or when public sentiment strongly favors a particular outcome. Examining these differences can provide valuable insights, although it's important to remember that both prediction markets and sportsbooks have their own strengths and weaknesses in forecasting event outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different possible outcomes for the total points scored in the first half. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of its probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective expectation. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions as the game approaches. The current price indicates what traders believe the probability of a particular outcome is.
This market resolves around Oct 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the first half of the South Florida vs UTSA game will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official game statistics, as reported by a recognized sports data provider, will serve as the basis for the resolution. Traders will be able to see the official result and the corresponding payouts after the event concludes and the data is verified.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries for either South Florida or UTSA would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to impact scoring, could also shift the market. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might prompt traders to reassess their predictions. Even general public sentiment, as reflected in social media or other sources, can sometimes influence trading activity and move the market.